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Scholarly Interest Report
         
Justin Esarey
Associate Professor
Associate Professor of Political Science
 
e-mail:Justin.E.Esarey@rice.edu
 
  • PhD Political Science (2008) Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
  • BA Political Science (2002) Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, OH
  • BS Economics (2002) Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, OH
  • MS Political Science (2004) Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 
Primary Department
   Department of Political Science
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Websites
 Political Methodology (blog)
 Professional Homepage
 
Research Areas
 political methodology; game theory; statistics; laboratory experimentation
 
Selected Publications
 Refereed articles
 

Berry, William, Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt, and Justin Esarey "Testing for Interaction Using Binary Logit in the Presence of Specification Ambiguity." American Journal of Political Science (2016)

 
 

Justin Esarey "Fractionally Integrated Data and the Autodistributed Lag Model: Results from a Simulation Study." Political Analysis, 24 (2016) : 42-49.


http://pan.oxfordjournals.org/content/24/1/42.short
 
 

Justin Esarey "How Does Peer Review Shape Science? A Simulation Study of Editors, Reviewers, and the Scientific Publication Process." Submitted


http://jee3.web.rice.edu/peer-review.pdf
 
 

Justin Esarey "Using Interaction Terms as Instrumental Variables for Causal Identification: Does Corruption Harm Economic Development?." In Progress


http://jee3.web.rice.edu/instrument-interact.pdf
 
 

Justin Esarey and Andrew Menger "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." Submitted


http://jee3.web.rice.edu/cluster-paper.pdf
 
 

Justin Esarey and Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt "Political Context and the Consequences of Naming and Shaming for Human Rights Abusers." International InteractionsIn Revision


http://jee3.web.rice.edu/state-dep-2.pdf
 
 

Justin Esarey and Jane Lawrence "Marginal Effects in Interaction Models: Determining and Controlling the False Positive Rate." Submitted

 
 

Justin Esarey and Leslie Schwindt-Bayer "Women’s Representation, Accountability, and Corruption in Democracies." British Journal of Political ScienceIn Revision


http://jee3.web.rice.edu/gender-corruption-accountability.pdf
 
 

Justin Esarey and Nathan Danneman "A Quantitative Method for Substantive Robustness Assessment." Political Science Research and Methods, 3 (2015) : 95-111.

 
 

Justin Esarey and Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt "Defining and Modeling State-dependent Dynamic Systems." Political Analysis, 22 (2014) : 66-85.

 
 

Justin Esarey and Gina Chirillo "'Fairer Sex' or Purity Myth? Corruption, Gender, and Institutional Context." Politics and Gender, 9 (2013) : 361-389.

 
 

Justin Esarey and Andrew Pierce "Assessing Fit Quality and Testing for Misspecification in Binary Dependent Variable Models." Political Analysis, 20 (2012) : 480-500.

 
 

Justin Esarey, Timothy C. Salmon, and Charles Barrilleaux "Social Insurance and Income Redistribution in a Laboratory Experiment." Political Research Quarterly, 65 (2012) : 685-698.

 
 

Justin Esarey, Timothy C. Salmon, and Charles Barrilleaux "What Motivates Political Preferences? Self-Interest, Ideology, and Fairness in a Laboratory Democracy." Economic Inquiry, 50 (2012) : 604-624.

 
 

William Berry, Jacqueline H. Demeritt, and Justin Esarey "Testing for Interaction in Binary Logit and Probit Models: Is a Product Term Essential?." American Journal of Political Science, 54 (2010) : 248-266.

 
 

TK Ahn, Justin Esarey, and John Scholz "Reputation and Cooperation in Voluntary Exchanges: Comparing Local and Central Institutions." Journal of Politics, 71 (2009) : 398-413.

 
 

Justin Esarey, Bumba Mukherjee, and Will H. Moore "A Fixed-Effects Bayesian Quantal Response Estimator for Incomplete Information Games." Political Analysis, 16: 250-273.

 
 

TK Ahn and Justin Esarey "A Dynamic Model of Generalized Social Trust." Journal of Theoretical Politics, 20 (2008) : 151-180.

 
 Book chapters
 

Justin Esarey "Causal Inference with Observational Data." Analytics, Policy, and Govenrance (2017) : Chapter 4.In Press

 
Presentations
 Conference Paper
 

Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2015 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, (2015) With Andrew Menger

 
 

Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2015 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2015) With Andrew Menger

 
 

Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2016 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, (2016) With Andrew Menger

 
 

Co-Author.  "Women’s Representation, Accountability, and Corruption in Democracies." 2015 European Conference on Politics and Gender, Uppsala University (Sweden). (2015) With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

 
 

Co-Author.  "Gender, Corruption, and Accountability: Why Women are (Sometimes) More Resistant to Corruption Than Men." 2014 Texas Triangle Conference, (2014) With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

 
 

Co-Author.  "Political Context and the Effectiveness of `Naming and Shaming' for Human Rights Abuses." 2013 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, (2013) With Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt

 
 

Co-Author.  "Political Context and the Effectiveness of `Naming and Shaming' for Human Rights Abuses." 2013 Texas Triangle Conference, (2013) With Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt

 
 

Co-Author.  "The Fault in our Stars: Measuring and Mitigating `Significance Bias' in Political Science." 2013 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, (2013) With Ahra Wu

 
 Invited Talks
 

"Replicability in Political Science." Statistical Challenges in Assessing and Fostering the Reproducibility of Scientific Results: A Workshop, National Academy of Science. (4/26/2015)

 
 

Co-Author.  "Gender, Corruption, and Accountability: Why Women are (Sometimes) More Resistant to Corruption Than Men." International Workshop of the SFB 700, “Why is Gender Equality Good for Governance?”, Freie Universitat, Berlin. With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

 
 Lectures
 

Esarey, Justin, and Jane Lawrence. “Overconfidence in Testing of Interaction Hypotheses: Determining and Controlling the False Positive Rate.” Paper presented at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology

 
 Other
 

Esarey, Justin. On-line Statistics and Research Methodology Lecture Series. Available on-line at http://www.youtube.com/user/jeesarey. These videos are designed for my PhD-level statistics classes, but are freely available on-line to students all over the world. As of 8/15/2015, my instructional videos have been viewed over 87,000 times.  Nearly 2000 people are subscribed to my channel.

 
 Posters
 

"Using One-Sided Conditional Relationships as Instrumental Variables for Causal Identification." 2014 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2014)

 
 

Co-Author.  "Assessing and Correcting Publication Bias." 2013 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2013) With Ahra Wu

 
Editorial Positions
 Editor, The Political Methodologist. Society for Political Methodology. (2013 - 2016)

Supervised Theses & Dissertations
 Nathan Danneman, PhD Dissertation Committee. (2013) (Thesis Committee Member)

 Jun Koga, PhD Dissertation Committee. (2014) (Thesis Committee Member)

 Ahra Wu, PhD Causes and Consequences of Consultation Pacts: A Multiple-Equation Model of Alliance Formation and Interstate Conflicts. (2017) (Thesis Committee Member)