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Scholarly Interest Report
         
Justin Esarey
Associate Professor
Associate Professor of Political Science
 
e-mail:Justin.E.Esarey@rice.edu
 
  • PhD Political Science (2008) Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
  • BA Political Science (2002) Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, OH
  • BS Economics (2002) Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, OH
  • MS Political Science (2004) Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 
Primary Department
   Department of Political Science
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Department Affiliations
 
  • Department of Political Science
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    Websites
     Professional Website
     Political Methodology (blog)
     Professional Homepage
     
    Research Areas
     political methodology; game theory; statistics; laboratory experimentation
     
    Selected Publications
     Refereed articles
     

    Esarey, Justin; "Does Peer Review Identify the Best Papers? A Simulation Study of Editors, Reviewers, and the Scientific Publication Process." PS: Political Science & Politics, 50 (2017) : 963-969.

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; "What makes someone a political methodologist?." PS: Political Science and Politics (2017) Submitted

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; DeMeritt, Jacqueline HR; "Political context and the consequences of naming and shaming for human rights abuse." International Interactions, 43 (2017) : 589-618.

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Lawrence, Jane; "Testing interaction hypotheses: Determining and controlling the false positive rate." Comparative Political Studies (2017)

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Menger, Andrew; "Practical and effective approaches to dealing with clustered data." Political Science Research and Methods (2018) : 1-19.

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Schwindt-Bayer, Leslie A; "Women's representation, accountability and corruption in democracies." British Journal of Political Science (2017) : 1-32.

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Schwindt-Bayer, Leslie; "Estimating Causal Relationships Between Women's Representation in Government and Corruption." Comparative Political Studies (2017) Submitted

     
     

    Berry, William D; DeMeritt, Jacqueline HR; Esarey, Justin; "Bias and overconfidence in parametric models of interactive processes." American Journal of Political Science, 60 (2016) : 521-539.

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Wu, Ahra; "Measuring the effects of publication bias in political science." Research & Politics, 3 (2016) : 1-9.

     
     

    Berry, William, Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt, and Justin Esarey "Testing for Interaction Using Binary Logit in the Presence of Specification Ambiguity." American Journal of Political Science (2016)

     
     

    Justin Esarey "Fractionally Integrated Data and the Autodistributed Lag Model: Results from a Simulation Study." Political Analysis, 24 (2016) : 42-49.


    http://pan.oxfordjournals.org/content/24/1/42.short
     
     

    Justin Esarey and Nathan Danneman "A Quantitative Method for Substantive Robustness Assessment." Political Science Research and Methods, 3 (2015) : 95-111.

     
     

    Justin Esarey and Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt "Defining and Modeling State-dependent Dynamic Systems." Political Analysis, 22 (2014) : 66-85.

     
     

    Justin Esarey and Gina Chirillo "'Fairer Sex' or Purity Myth? Corruption, Gender, and Institutional Context." Politics and Gender, 9 (2013) : 361-389.

     
     

    Justin Esarey and Andrew Pierce "Assessing Fit Quality and Testing for Misspecification in Binary Dependent Variable Models." Political Analysis, 20 (2012) : 480-500.

     
     

    Justin Esarey, Timothy C. Salmon, and Charles Barrilleaux "Social Insurance and Income Redistribution in a Laboratory Experiment." Political Research Quarterly, 65 (2012) : 685-698.

     
     

    Justin Esarey, Timothy C. Salmon, and Charles Barrilleaux "What Motivates Political Preferences? Self-Interest, Ideology, and Fairness in a Laboratory Democracy." Economic Inquiry, 50 (2012) : 604-624.

     
     

    William Berry, Jacqueline H. Demeritt, and Justin Esarey "Testing for Interaction in Binary Logit and Probit Models: Is a Product Term Essential?." American Journal of Political Science, 54 (2010) : 248-266.

     
     

    TK Ahn, Justin Esarey, and John Scholz "Reputation and Cooperation in Voluntary Exchanges: Comparing Local and Central Institutions." Journal of Politics, 71 (2009) : 398-413.

     
     

    Justin Esarey, Bumba Mukherjee, and Will H. Moore "A Fixed-Effects Bayesian Quantal Response Estimator for Incomplete Information Games." Political Analysis, 16: 250-273.

     
     

    TK Ahn and Justin Esarey "A Dynamic Model of Generalized Social Trust." Journal of Theoretical Politics, 20 (2008) : 151-180.

     
     Book chapters
     

    Schwindt-Bayer, Leslie; Esarey, Justin; Schumacher, Erika "Gender and Citizen Responses to Corruption among Politicians: The US and Brazil." Gender and Corruption: Historical Roots and New Avenues for Research (2018) Accepted

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; "Causal inference with observational data." Analytics, Policy, and Governance (2017) : Chapter 4.

     
     Conference papers
     

    Esarey, Justin; Jaffe, Jacob; "A Direct Test for Consistency of Random Effects Models that Outperforms the Hausman Test."  (2017)

     
     

    Esarey, Justin; Liu, Vera; "How Often Do Social Scientists Propose Correct Hypotheses?."  (2017)

     
    Presentations
     Conference Paper
     

    "Esarey, Justin, and Jacob Jaffe. ``A Direct Test for Consistency of Random Effects Models that Outperforms the Hausman Test.'' Paper presented at the 2017 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology.."

     
     

    "Esarey, Justin, and Jacob Jaffe. ``A Direct Test for Consistency of Random Effects Models that Outperforms the Hausman Test.'' Paper presented at the 2017 Texas Methods Meeting at the University of Houston.."

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2015 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, (2015) With Andrew Menger

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2015 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2015) With Andrew Menger

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data." 2016 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, (2016) With Andrew Menger

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Women’s Representation, Accountability, and Corruption in Democracies." 2015 European Conference on Politics and Gender, Uppsala University (Sweden). (2015) With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Gender, Corruption, and Accountability: Why Women are (Sometimes) More Resistant to Corruption Than Men." 2014 Texas Triangle Conference, (2014) With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Political Context and the Effectiveness of `Naming and Shaming' for Human Rights Abuses." 2013 Texas Triangle Conference, (2013) With Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Political Context and the Effectiveness of `Naming and Shaming' for Human Rights Abuses." 2013 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, (2013) With Jacqueline H. R. Demeritt

     
     

    Co-Author.  "The Fault in our Stars: Measuring and Mitigating `Significance Bias' in Political Science." 2013 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, (2013) With Ahra Wu

     
     Invited Papers
     

    "Esarey, Justin, and Jacob Jaffe. ``A Direct Test for Consistency of Random Effects Models that Outperforms the Hausman Test.'' Paper presented at the 2017 Time and Space Conference at Texas A\&M University.."

     
     Invited Talks
     

    "Replicability in Political Science." Statistical Challenges in Assessing and Fostering the Reproducibility of Scientific Results: A Workshop, National Academy of Science. (4/26/2015)

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Gender, Corruption, and Accountability: Why Women are (Sometimes) More Resistant to Corruption Than Men." International Workshop of the SFB 700, “Why is Gender Equality Good for Governance?”, Freie Universitat, Berlin. With Leslie Schwindt-Bayer

     
     Lectures
     

    Esarey, Justin, and Jane Lawrence. “Overconfidence in Testing of Interaction Hypotheses: Determining and Controlling the False Positive Rate.” Paper presented at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology

     
     Other
     

    Esarey, Justin. On-line Statistics and Research Methodology Lecture Series. Available on-line at http://www.youtube.com/user/jeesarey. These videos are designed for my PhD-level statistics classes, but are freely available on-line to students all over the world. As of 8/15/2015, my instructional videos have been viewed over 87,000 times.  Nearly 2000 people are subscribed to my channel.

     
     Posters
     

    "Esarey, Justin, and Andrew Menger. ``Practical and Effective Approaches to Dealing with Clustered Data.'' Poster presented at the 2017 Texas Methods Meeting at the University of Houston.."

     
     

    "Esarey, Justin, and Vera Liu. ``A Prospective Test for Replicability and a Retrospective Analysis of Theoretical Prediction Strength in the Social Sciences.'' Poster presented at the 2017 Texas Methods Meeting at the University of Houston.."

     
     

    "Using One-Sided Conditional Relationships as Instrumental Variables for Causal Identification." 2014 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2014)

     
     

    Co-Author.  "Assessing and Correcting Publication Bias." 2013 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, (2013) With Ahra Wu

     
    Editorial Positions
     Editor, The Political Methodologist. Society for Political Methodology. (2013 - 2018)

    Supervised Theses & Dissertations
     Nathan Danneman, PhD Dissertation Committee. (2013) (Thesis Committee Member)

     Jun Koga, PhD Dissertation Committee. (2014) (Thesis Committee Member)

     Ahra Wu, PhD Causes and Consequences of Consultation Pacts: A Multiple-Equation Model of Alliance Formation and Interstate Conflicts. (2017) (Thesis Committee Member)

    Awards, Prizes, & Fellowships
     POD Innovation Award, Professional and Organizational Development Network in Higher Education